Google Threat Intelligence Group analyzes the evolution of the pro-Russia influence ecosystem four years into the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, identifying a pivot from war-focused operations back to global strategic objectives targeting the West, NATO, and the EU. The ecosystem comprises six interconnected components — overt media, covert IO campaigns, hacktivism, cyber espionage, government direction, and outsourced proxies — that cross-promote and amplify narratives. Key trends include the increasing use of generative AI for content creation, the blending of cyber espionage with influence operations via hack-and-leak tactics, and the outsourcing of capability development to contractors like NTC Vulkan for plausible deniability.
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The Bear Necessities: A Look at the Drivers, Dynamics, and Applications of the Pro-Russia Influence Ecosystem